Apple sees seven-week low in result of Barclays downgrade
Apple's meteoric rise in 2023 may be coming to an abrupt halt. The tech titan tumbled nearly 3% on Tuesday, hitting a seven-week low after Barclays slapped a "downgrade" on its stock citing concerns about weakening demand for iPhones and Macs in 2024. This bearish outlook signals potential cracks in Apple's armor, raising questions about its future performance.
Key Highlights:
- Barclays Downgrade: The downgrade marks the second "sell" rating on Apple stock in two years, highlighting rising pessimism among analysts.
- Demand Worries: Barclays believes iPhone and Mac demand will remain lukewarm throughout 2024, fueled by China's weakness and subdued developed markets.
- Services Scrutiny: The brokerage also expressed concerns about potential risks to Apple's services business, facing scrutiny over app store practices.
Subdued Demand Clouds Horizon: Barclays analyst Tim Long pointed to lackluster iPhone 15 sales and expects similar performance for the upcoming iPhone 16. He cited China's smartphone market revival as a significant factor, with local rival Huawei gaining traction. Furthermore, Long sees subdued demand across developed markets, casting a shadow on Apple's future growth prospects.
Services Business at Risk: Apple's lucrative services segment, accounting for nearly a quarter of its revenue, is facing headwinds. Barclays warned of mounting regulatory risks from countries like the U.S., where app store practices are under scrutiny. This could potentially disrupt the segment's growth trajectory.
Analysts Divided: Despite the recent downgrade, the broader analyst community remains bullish on Apple, with a median "buy" rating and a $200 price target. However, Barclays' cautionary remarks offer a counterpoint, urging investors to exercise prudence in light of the potential demand and regulatory challenges.
Trading at a Premium: Apple's current valuation, trading at 28.7 times its forward earnings, significantly exceeds the S&P 500's average. This premium further amplifies the risk of a correction if the company's growth falters.
Looking Ahead: Apple's ability to navigate the evolving market landscape and address demand concerns will be crucial in determining its future performance. The company's upcoming earnings report will be closely watched for any signals about its iPhone and services business, shedding light on the validity of Barclays' bearish outlook.